Fresh odds moves, new highs and lows, trends, lead changes, polling, fundraising, endorsements, and news across active elections. High Impact Insights LA-06 Republican nominee? Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. LA-06 Republican nominee? Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. LA-05 Democratic nominee? Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. LA-05 Democratic nominee? Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. FL-14 House winner? Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. FL-14 House winner? Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket. Deposit $20, get a $50 bonus with Polymarket. Latest Insights Monique Appeaning 2h High Impact 7% LA-06 Republican nominee? Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. Trade Monique Appeaning 2h High Impact LA-06 Republican nominee? Trade Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. 7% LA-06 Republican nominee? Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. LA-06 Republican nominee? Monique Appeaning is now the front-runner for the LA-06 Republican nominee spot, with 7.3% odds and a 5.3-point lead. Lauren Jewett 2h High Impact 20% LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. Trade Lauren Jewett 2h High Impact LA-01 Democratic nominee? Trade Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. 20% LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett is now ahead in the LA-01 Democratic nominee race with 20% odds and an 18-point lead. Dan McKay 2h High Impact 14% LA-05 Democratic nominee? Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. Trade Dan McKay 2h High Impact LA-05 Democratic nominee? Trade Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. 14% LA-05 Democratic nominee? Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. LA-05 Democratic nominee? Dan McKay is now the front-runner at 14%, with a 10.5-point lead. Kathy Castor 2h High Impact 55% FL-14 House winner? Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. Trade Kathy Castor 2h High Impact FL-14 House winner? Trade Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. 55% FL-14 House winner? Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. FL-14 House winner? Kathy Castor is now leading with 55% odds in the FL-14 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to her. Charlie Crist 2d High Impact 89% 50% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Trade Charlie Crist 2d High Impact St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Trade Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. 50% 89% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Crist’s win contract surged from 39% to 89%, and today’s reporting says the race is now headed to a Welch-Crist runoff, making the repricing highly tradable. Michael Whatley 2h 6% 10% North Carolina Senate winner? Whatley’s Republican win probability fell from about 16% to 6% in the past day, while fresh coverage around the North Carolina race keeps Cooper positioned as the clear favorite. Trade Michael Whatley 2h North Carolina Senate winner? Trade Whatley’s Republican win probability fell from about 16% to 6% in the past day, while fresh coverage around the North Carolina race keeps Cooper positioned as the clear favorite. 10% 6% North Carolina Senate winner? Whatley’s Republican win probability fell from about 16% to 6% in the past day, while fresh coverage around the North Carolina race keeps Cooper positioned as the clear favorite. North Carolina Senate winner? Whatley’s Republican win probability fell from about 16% to 6% in the past day, while fresh coverage around the North Carolina race keeps Cooper positioned as the clear favorite. Republican Party 2h 47% 11% Pennsylvania State Senate winner? That’s below the previous low of 58%, marking a fresh floor for Republican Party in this Pennsylvania State Senate race. Trade Republican Party 2h Pennsylvania State Senate winner? Trade That’s below the previous low of 58%, marking a fresh floor for Republican Party in this Pennsylvania State Senate race. 11% 47% Pennsylvania State Senate winner? That’s below the previous low of 58%, marking a fresh floor for Republican Party in this Pennsylvania State Senate race. Pennsylvania State Senate winner? That’s below the previous low of 58%, marking a fresh floor for Republican Party in this Pennsylvania State Senate race. Annie Andrews 2h 12% 4% South Carolina Senate winner? Annie Andrews’s South Carolina Senate contract rebounded intraday from 16% to 12% even as coverage stayed focused on the GOP runoff, making the Democratic side worth a fresh watch for traders. Trade Annie Andrews 2h South Carolina Senate winner? Trade Annie Andrews’s South Carolina Senate contract rebounded intraday from 16% to 12% even as coverage stayed focused on the GOP runoff, making the Democratic side worth a fresh watch for traders. 4% 12% South Carolina Senate winner? Annie Andrews’s South Carolina Senate contract rebounded intraday from 16% to 12% even as coverage stayed focused on the GOP runoff, making the Democratic side worth a fresh watch for traders. South Carolina Senate winner? Annie Andrews’s South Carolina Senate contract rebounded intraday from 16% to 12% even as coverage stayed focused on the GOP runoff, making the Democratic side worth a fresh watch for traders. Troy Carter 2h 14% 83% LA-02 Democratic nominee? Troy Carter's odds in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" fell below the prior low of 97%, setting a fresh floor for the race. Trade Troy Carter 2h LA-02 Democratic nominee? Trade Troy Carter's odds in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" fell below the prior low of 97%, setting a fresh floor for the race. 83% 14% LA-02 Democratic nominee? Troy Carter's odds in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" fell below the prior low of 97%, setting a fresh floor for the race. LA-02 Democratic nominee? Troy Carter's odds in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" fell below the prior low of 97%, setting a fresh floor for the race. Dan McKay 2h 14% 12% LA-05 Democratic nominee? That’s a fresh high for Dan McKay in the LA-05 Democratic nominee race, up from the prior extreme of 2%. Trade Dan McKay 2h LA-05 Democratic nominee? Trade That’s a fresh high for Dan McKay in the LA-05 Democratic nominee race, up from the prior extreme of 2%. 12% 14% LA-05 Democratic nominee? That’s a fresh high for Dan McKay in the LA-05 Democratic nominee race, up from the prior extreme of 2%. LA-05 Democratic nominee? That’s a fresh high for Dan McKay in the LA-05 Democratic nominee race, up from the prior extreme of 2%. Lauren Jewett 2h 20% 15% LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett's odds reached 20%, topping the prior high of 5% over the last 60 days. Trade Lauren Jewett 2h LA-01 Democratic nominee? Trade Lauren Jewett's odds reached 20%, topping the prior high of 5% over the last 60 days. 15% 20% LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett's odds reached 20%, topping the prior high of 5% over the last 60 days. LA-01 Democratic nominee? Lauren Jewett's odds reached 20%, topping the prior high of 5% over the last 60 days. Democratic Party 4h Which party will win the U.S. House? House-control pricing just ticked further toward Democrats, and fresh AP reporting on redistricting fights in Missouri and elsewhere keeps the underlying pro-Democratic map story in play for traders. Trade Democratic Party 4h Which party will win the U.S. House? Trade House-control pricing just ticked further toward Democrats, and fresh AP reporting on redistricting fights in Missouri and elsewhere keeps the underlying pro-Democratic map story in play for traders. Which party will win the U.S. House? House-control pricing just ticked further toward Democrats, and fresh AP reporting on redistricting fights in Missouri and elsewhere keeps the underlying pro-Democratic map story in play for traders. Which party will win the U.S. House? House-control pricing just ticked further toward Democrats, and fresh AP reporting on redistricting fights in Missouri and elsewhere keeps the underlying pro-Democratic map story in play for traders. Ashley Moody 5h 93% 14% Florida Senate winner? Angie Nixon’s Democratic win was followed by a steep repricing lower in the Florida Senate market, reinforcing that traders see the race as safely Republican and limiting the upside from the primary upset. Trade Ashley Moody 5h Florida Senate winner? Trade Angie Nixon’s Democratic win was followed by a steep repricing lower in the Florida Senate market, reinforcing that traders see the race as safely Republican and limiting the upside from the primary upset. 14% 93% Florida Senate winner? Angie Nixon’s Democratic win was followed by a steep repricing lower in the Florida Senate market, reinforcing that traders see the race as safely Republican and limiting the upside from the primary upset. Florida Senate winner? Angie Nixon’s Democratic win was followed by a steep repricing lower in the Florida Senate market, reinforcing that traders see the race as safely Republican and limiting the upside from the primary upset. Roger Williams 7h 92% TX-25 House winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%. Trade Roger Williams 7h TX-25 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%. 92% TX-25 House winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%. TX-25 House winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Williams in "TX-25 House winner?", and Williams is currently at 92%. Tom Begich 8h 25% 28% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Begich’s governor contract fell to 25% as AP-confirmed primary results showed the Alaska general-election field taking shape, keeping him behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the Democratic lane. Trade Tom Begich 8h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Begich’s governor contract fell to 25% as AP-confirmed primary results showed the Alaska general-election field taking shape, keeping him behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the Democratic lane. 28% 25% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Begich’s governor contract fell to 25% as AP-confirmed primary results showed the Alaska general-election field taking shape, keeping him behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the Democratic lane. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Begich’s governor contract fell to 25% as AP-confirmed primary results showed the Alaska general-election field taking shape, keeping him behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the Democratic lane. Ralph Norman 8h 24% 5% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Norman’s contract bounced back from 29% to 24% in the past hour on heavy volume, suggesting traders are reloading him after fresh AP coverage of Graham’s debate stumble and the runoff’s late-stage momentum shift. Trade Ralph Norman 8h South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade Norman’s contract bounced back from 29% to 24% in the past hour on heavy volume, suggesting traders are reloading him after fresh AP coverage of Graham’s debate stumble and the runoff’s late-stage momentum shift. 5% 24% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Norman’s contract bounced back from 29% to 24% in the past hour on heavy volume, suggesting traders are reloading him after fresh AP coverage of Graham’s debate stumble and the runoff’s late-stage momentum shift. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Norman’s contract bounced back from 29% to 24% in the past hour on heavy volume, suggesting traders are reloading him after fresh AP coverage of Graham’s debate stumble and the runoff’s late-stage momentum shift. Steve Scalise 8h 19% 77% LA-01 Republican nominee? Steve Scalise's odds are now 19%, below the prior low of 96% over the last 17 days. Trade Steve Scalise 8h LA-01 Republican nominee? Trade Steve Scalise's odds are now 19%, below the prior low of 96% over the last 17 days. 77% 19% LA-01 Republican nominee? Steve Scalise's odds are now 19%, below the prior low of 96% over the last 17 days. LA-01 Republican nominee? Steve Scalise's odds are now 19%, below the prior low of 96% over the last 17 days. Two Democrats advanced in Alaska’s governor primary 14h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP says Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich advanced from the Alaska governor primary, keeping the general-election field centered on two Democrats versus a still-fractured Republican side. Trade Two Democrats advanced in Alaska’s governor primary 14h Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade AP says Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich advanced from the Alaska governor primary, keeping the general-election field centered on two Democrats versus a still-fractured Republican side. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP says Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich advanced from the Alaska governor primary, keeping the general-election field centered on two Democrats versus a still-fractured Republican side. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP says Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich advanced from the Alaska governor primary, keeping the general-election field centered on two Democrats versus a still-fractured Republican side. Dan Koh 17h 87% 14% MA-06 Democratic nominee? Koh’s nomination price surged to 0.87, and fresh Boston Globe coverage says he remains the front-runner while Tram Nguyen and John Beccia are still clustered behind him. That keeps the market focused on whether the lead is firming ahead of the Sept. 1 primary. Trade Dan Koh 17h MA-06 Democratic nominee? Trade Koh’s nomination price surged to 0.87, and fresh Boston Globe coverage says he remains the front-runner while Tram Nguyen and John Beccia are still clustered behind him. That keeps the market focused on whether the lead is firming ahead of the Sept. 1 primary. 14% 87% MA-06 Democratic nominee? Koh’s nomination price surged to 0.87, and fresh Boston Globe coverage says he remains the front-runner while Tram Nguyen and John Beccia are still clustered behind him. That keeps the market focused on whether the lead is firming ahead of the Sept. 1 primary. MA-06 Democratic nominee? Koh’s nomination price surged to 0.87, and fresh Boston Globe coverage says he remains the front-runner while Tram Nguyen and John Beccia are still clustered behind him. That keeps the market focused on whether the lead is firming ahead of the Sept. 1 primary. Scott DesJarlais 18h 95% TN-04 House winner? Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?" Trade Scott DesJarlais 18h TN-04 House winner? Trade Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?" 95% TN-04 House winner? Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?" TN-04 House winner? Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?" Melissa Hernandez 19h 10% 6% CA-14 special election winner Hernandez’s win contract jumped from 16% to 10% intraday even as fresh reporting still frames Aisha Wahab as the favorite, making this a trader-relevant short-term repricing watch. Trade Melissa Hernandez 19h CA-14 special election winner Trade Hernandez’s win contract jumped from 16% to 10% intraday even as fresh reporting still frames Aisha Wahab as the favorite, making this a trader-relevant short-term repricing watch. 6% 10% CA-14 special election winner Hernandez’s win contract jumped from 16% to 10% intraday even as fresh reporting still frames Aisha Wahab as the favorite, making this a trader-relevant short-term repricing watch. CA-14 special election winner Hernandez’s win contract jumped from 16% to 10% intraday even as fresh reporting still frames Aisha Wahab as the favorite, making this a trader-relevant short-term repricing watch. John James 19h 13% Michigan Governor winner? Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%. Trade John James 19h Michigan Governor winner? Trade Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%. 13% Michigan Governor winner? Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%. Michigan Governor winner? Donald Trump backed John James in the Michigan governor race, and John James is currently at 13%. Roger Marshall 19h 81% Kansas Senate winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%. Trade Roger Marshall 19h Kansas Senate winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%. 81% Kansas Senate winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%. Kansas Senate winner? Donald Trump backed Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, and Marshall is currently at 81%. Darren Soto 20h 28% FL-09 House winner? Darren Soto has raised $2,157,833.96 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for FL-09 House winner. Trade Darren Soto 20h FL-09 House winner? Trade Darren Soto has raised $2,157,833.96 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for FL-09 House winner. 28% FL-09 House winner? Darren Soto has raised $2,157,833.96 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for FL-09 House winner. FL-09 House winner? Darren Soto has raised $2,157,833.96 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for FL-09 House winner. Republican Party 20h 23% 12% Iowa Governor winner? That’s below the prior low of 35%, setting a fresh floor for Republican Party in the Iowa governor race. Trade Republican Party 20h Iowa Governor winner? Trade That’s below the prior low of 35%, setting a fresh floor for Republican Party in the Iowa governor race. 12% 23% Iowa Governor winner? That’s below the prior low of 35%, setting a fresh floor for Republican Party in the Iowa governor race. Iowa Governor winner? That’s below the prior low of 35%, setting a fresh floor for Republican Party in the Iowa governor race. Mike Beltran 20h 75% 21% FL-14 House winner? Mike Beltran's odds in "FL-14 House winner?" are now 75%, above the previous high of 54%. Trade Mike Beltran 20h FL-14 House winner? Trade Mike Beltran's odds in "FL-14 House winner?" are now 75%, above the previous high of 54%. 21% 75% FL-14 House winner? Mike Beltran's odds in "FL-14 House winner?" are now 75%, above the previous high of 54%. FL-14 House winner? Mike Beltran's odds in "FL-14 House winner?" are now 75%, above the previous high of 54%. Brandon Johnson 20h 8% 17% Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) Brandon Johnson's odds fell below the previous low of 25%, setting a new floor at 8%. Trade Brandon Johnson 20h Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) Trade Brandon Johnson's odds fell below the previous low of 25%, setting a new floor at 8%. 17% 8% Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) Brandon Johnson's odds fell below the previous low of 25%, setting a new floor at 8%. Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) Brandon Johnson's odds fell below the previous low of 25%, setting a new floor at 8%. N'Kiyla Thomas 20h 95% 39% Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee? N'Kiyla Thomas's odds are now 95%, breaking the previous high of 56.5%. Trade N'Kiyla Thomas 20h Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee? Trade N'Kiyla Thomas's odds are now 95%, breaking the previous high of 56.5%. 39% 95% Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee? N'Kiyla Thomas's odds are now 95%, breaking the previous high of 56.5%. Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee? N'Kiyla Thomas's odds are now 95%, breaking the previous high of 56.5%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20h 18% 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now at 18% and has moved ahead of the prior leader by 3.0 points. Trade Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20h 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Trade Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now at 18% and has moved ahead of the prior leader by 3.0 points. 18% 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now at 18% and has moved ahead of the prior leader by 3.0 points. 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now at 18% and has moved ahead of the prior leader by 3.0 points. Thomas Chalifoux 20h 1% FL-09 Republican nominee? Thomas Chalifoux has raised $3,139,737 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-09 Republican nominee?" Trade Thomas Chalifoux 20h FL-09 Republican nominee? Trade Thomas Chalifoux has raised $3,139,737 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-09 Republican nominee?" 1% FL-09 Republican nominee? Thomas Chalifoux has raised $3,139,737 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-09 Republican nominee?" FL-09 Republican nominee? Thomas Chalifoux has raised $3,139,737 this cycle, but Dan Green holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-09 Republican nominee?" Melissa Hernandez 22h 11% CA-14 special election winner Melissa Hernandez has raised $1,534,263 this cycle, but Aisha Wahab holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-14 special election winner. Trade Melissa Hernandez 22h CA-14 special election winner Trade Melissa Hernandez has raised $1,534,263 this cycle, but Aisha Wahab holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-14 special election winner. 11% CA-14 special election winner Melissa Hernandez has raised $1,534,263 this cycle, but Aisha Wahab holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-14 special election winner. CA-14 special election winner Melissa Hernandez has raised $1,534,263 this cycle, but Aisha Wahab holds the lead in the latest odds for CA-14 special election winner. Gina Hinojosa 22h 16% Texas Governor winner? Fresh reporting says Gina Hinojosa is airing a rural-market TV ad attacking Greg Abbott on data centers, keeping the issue active and potentially extending the recent repricing in her favor. Trade Gina Hinojosa 22h Texas Governor winner? Trade Fresh reporting says Gina Hinojosa is airing a rural-market TV ad attacking Greg Abbott on data centers, keeping the issue active and potentially extending the recent repricing in her favor. 16% Texas Governor winner? Fresh reporting says Gina Hinojosa is airing a rural-market TV ad attacking Greg Abbott on data centers, keeping the issue active and potentially extending the recent repricing in her favor. Texas Governor winner? Fresh reporting says Gina Hinojosa is airing a rural-market TV ad attacking Greg Abbott on data centers, keeping the issue active and potentially extending the recent repricing in her favor. Mike Johnson 23h 11% 86% LA-04 Republican nominee? Mike Johnson's odds fell to 11%, breaking the previous low of 97% for "LA-04 Republican nominee?" Trade Mike Johnson 23h LA-04 Republican nominee? Trade Mike Johnson's odds fell to 11%, breaking the previous low of 97% for "LA-04 Republican nominee?" 86% 11% LA-04 Republican nominee? Mike Johnson's odds fell to 11%, breaking the previous low of 97% for "LA-04 Republican nominee?" LA-04 Republican nominee? Mike Johnson's odds fell to 11%, breaking the previous low of 97% for "LA-04 Republican nominee?" Jamie Davis 23h 10% Louisiana Senate winner? Jamie Davis has raised $1,983,548 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Senate race. Trade Jamie Davis 23h Louisiana Senate winner? Trade Jamie Davis has raised $1,983,548 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Senate race. 10% Louisiana Senate winner? Jamie Davis has raised $1,983,548 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Senate race. Louisiana Senate winner? Jamie Davis has raised $1,983,548 this cycle, but Julia Letlow holds the lead in the latest odds for the Louisiana Senate race. Max Miller 23h 24% OH-07 House winner? Max Miller has raised $2,142,561.93 this cycle, but Brian Poindexter holds the lead in the latest odds for OH-07 House winner. Trade Max Miller 23h OH-07 House winner? Trade Max Miller has raised $2,142,561.93 this cycle, but Brian Poindexter holds the lead in the latest odds for OH-07 House winner. 24% OH-07 House winner? Max Miller has raised $2,142,561.93 this cycle, but Brian Poindexter holds the lead in the latest odds for OH-07 House winner. OH-07 House winner? Max Miller has raised $2,142,561.93 this cycle, but Brian Poindexter holds the lead in the latest odds for OH-07 House winner. Nancy Lacore 23h 23% SC-01 House winner? Nancy Lacore has raised $2,279,584.94 this cycle, but Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds the lead in the latest odds for "SC-01 House winner?" Trade Nancy Lacore 23h SC-01 House winner? Trade Nancy Lacore has raised $2,279,584.94 this cycle, but Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds the lead in the latest odds for "SC-01 House winner?" 23% SC-01 House winner? Nancy Lacore has raised $2,279,584.94 this cycle, but Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds the lead in the latest odds for "SC-01 House winner?" SC-01 House winner? Nancy Lacore has raised $2,279,584.94 this cycle, but Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds the lead in the latest odds for "SC-01 House winner?" Texas ag race gets fresh attention over screwworm and data-center issues 23h Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner? New Texas reporting on a second screwworm case and ongoing data-center backlash is keeping the agriculture commissioner race in the news, which could matter for Clayton Tucker’s visibility even though his market has held at 0.36 over the last hour. Trade Texas ag race gets fresh attention over screwworm and data-center issues 23h Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner? Trade New Texas reporting on a second screwworm case and ongoing data-center backlash is keeping the agriculture commissioner race in the news, which could matter for Clayton Tucker’s visibility even though his market has held at 0.36 over the last hour. Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner? New Texas reporting on a second screwworm case and ongoing data-center backlash is keeping the agriculture commissioner race in the news, which could matter for Clayton Tucker’s visibility even though his market has held at 0.36 over the last hour. Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner? New Texas reporting on a second screwworm case and ongoing data-center backlash is keeping the agriculture commissioner race in the news, which could matter for Clayton Tucker’s visibility even though his market has held at 0.36 over the last hour. Addison McDowell 1d 91% 6% NC-06 House winner? Addison McDowell's odds reached 91%, topping the previous high of 85%. Trade Addison McDowell 1d NC-06 House winner? Trade Addison McDowell's odds reached 91%, topping the previous high of 85%. 6% 91% NC-06 House winner? Addison McDowell's odds reached 91%, topping the previous high of 85%. NC-06 House winner? Addison McDowell's odds reached 91%, topping the previous high of 85%. Zyon Khalifa 1d 10% 6% SC-02 House winner? Zyon Khalifa's odds fell below the previous low of 16%, setting a new floor for "SC-02 House winner?" Trade Zyon Khalifa 1d SC-02 House winner? Trade Zyon Khalifa's odds fell below the previous low of 16%, setting a new floor for "SC-02 House winner?" 6% 10% SC-02 House winner? Zyon Khalifa's odds fell below the previous low of 16%, setting a new floor for "SC-02 House winner?" SC-02 House winner? Zyon Khalifa's odds fell below the previous low of 16%, setting a new floor for "SC-02 House winner?" Eric Jones 1d 36% 6% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are now 36%, topping the previous high of 30%. Trade Eric Jones 1d CA-04 House winner? Trade Eric Jones's odds are now 36%, topping the previous high of 30%. 6% 36% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are now 36%, topping the previous high of 30%. CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are now 36%, topping the previous high of 30%. Bill Huizenga 1d 60% 6% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga's odds are now 60%, below the previous low of 66%. Trade Bill Huizenga 1d MI-04 House winner? Trade Bill Huizenga's odds are now 60%, below the previous low of 66%. 6% 60% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga's odds are now 60%, below the previous low of 66%. MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga's odds are now 60%, below the previous low of 66%. Rachel Wallace 1d 3% 6% PA-09 House winner? Rachel Wallace's odds fell below the prior low of 9.5%, setting a fresh low for the PA-09 House winner race. Trade Rachel Wallace 1d PA-09 House winner? Trade Rachel Wallace's odds fell below the prior low of 9.5%, setting a fresh low for the PA-09 House winner race. 6% 3% PA-09 House winner? Rachel Wallace's odds fell below the prior low of 9.5%, setting a fresh low for the PA-09 House winner race. PA-09 House winner? Rachel Wallace's odds fell below the prior low of 9.5%, setting a fresh low for the PA-09 House winner race. Elinor Gilbreath 1d 3% 6% ID-02 House winner? Elinor Gilbreath's odds fell below the previous low of 9.5%, setting a new floor for "ID-02 House winner?" Trade Elinor Gilbreath 1d ID-02 House winner? Trade Elinor Gilbreath's odds fell below the previous low of 9.5%, setting a new floor for "ID-02 House winner?" 6% 3% ID-02 House winner? Elinor Gilbreath's odds fell below the previous low of 9.5%, setting a new floor for "ID-02 House winner?" ID-02 House winner? Elinor Gilbreath's odds fell below the previous low of 9.5%, setting a new floor for "ID-02 House winner?" Kristen McDonald Rivet 1d 94% 6% MI-08 House winner? Kristen McDonald Rivet's odds in "MI-08 House winner?" are now 94%, topping the previous high of 88%. Trade Kristen McDonald Rivet 1d MI-08 House winner? Trade Kristen McDonald Rivet's odds in "MI-08 House winner?" are now 94%, topping the previous high of 88%. 6% 94% MI-08 House winner? Kristen McDonald Rivet's odds in "MI-08 House winner?" are now 94%, topping the previous high of 88%. MI-08 House winner? Kristen McDonald Rivet's odds in "MI-08 House winner?" are now 94%, topping the previous high of 88%. Democratic Party 1d 93% 6% Massachusetts Attorney General winner? This is a fresh low for the Democratic Party in the "Massachusetts Attorney General winner?" contest, down from the prior low of 99%. Trade Democratic Party 1d Massachusetts Attorney General winner? Trade This is a fresh low for the Democratic Party in the "Massachusetts Attorney General winner?" contest, down from the prior low of 99%. 6% 93% Massachusetts Attorney General winner? This is a fresh low for the Democratic Party in the "Massachusetts Attorney General winner?" contest, down from the prior low of 99%. Massachusetts Attorney General winner? This is a fresh low for the Democratic Party in the "Massachusetts Attorney General winner?" contest, down from the prior low of 99%. Troy Carter 1d 10% LA-02 Democratic nominee? AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" Trade Troy Carter 1d LA-02 Democratic nominee? Trade AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" 10% LA-02 Democratic nominee? AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" LA-02 Democratic nominee? AFL-CIO is a notable endorsement for Troy Carter in "LA-02 Democratic nominee?" Aisha Wahab 1d 77% 7% CA-14 House winner? Aisha Wahab's odds in "CA-14 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 84%, setting a new 28-day low. Trade Aisha Wahab 1d CA-14 House winner? Trade Aisha Wahab's odds in "CA-14 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 84%, setting a new 28-day low. 7% 77% CA-14 House winner? Aisha Wahab's odds in "CA-14 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 84%, setting a new 28-day low. CA-14 House winner? Aisha Wahab's odds in "CA-14 House winner?" fell below the prior low of 84%, setting a new 28-day low. David Taylor 1d 92% 7% OH-02 House winner? David Taylor's odds fell below the prior low of 98%, setting a new floor for "OH-02 House winner?" Trade David Taylor 1d OH-02 House winner? Trade David Taylor's odds fell below the prior low of 98%, setting a new floor for "OH-02 House winner?" 7% 92% OH-02 House winner? David Taylor's odds fell below the prior low of 98%, setting a new floor for "OH-02 House winner?" OH-02 House winner? David Taylor's odds fell below the prior low of 98%, setting a new floor for "OH-02 House winner?" Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 1d 35% 13% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced from Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose to about 35%, keeping him in the general-election mix and forcing traders to reprice the race. Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 1d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Kreiss-Tomkins advanced from Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose to about 35%, keeping him in the general-election mix and forcing traders to reprice the race. 13% 35% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced from Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose to about 35%, keeping him in the general-election mix and forcing traders to reprice the race. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Kreiss-Tomkins advanced from Alaska’s governor primary and his contract rose to about 35%, keeping him in the general-election mix and forcing traders to reprice the race. Mary Peltola 1d 54% 0% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains narrowly favored over Dan Sullivan in the Alaska Senate market after both advanced from Tuesday’s primary, keeping the November race tightly priced. Trade Mary Peltola 1d Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade Mary Peltola remains narrowly favored over Dan Sullivan in the Alaska Senate market after both advanced from Tuesday’s primary, keeping the November race tightly priced. 0% 54% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains narrowly favored over Dan Sullivan in the Alaska Senate market after both advanced from Tuesday’s primary, keeping the November race tightly priced. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Mary Peltola remains narrowly favored over Dan Sullivan in the Alaska Senate market after both advanced from Tuesday’s primary, keeping the November race tightly priced. Joe Strada 1d 99% 0% FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. Trade Joe Strada 1d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. 0% 99% FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. FL-11 Republican nominee? Strada’s contract has moved to a near-certain 99%, making the FL-11 Republican primary look effectively settled and leaving little room for rivals to reprice meaningfully. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 1d 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 1d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. 37% Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is now the front-runner at 37%, with a 15.0-point lead over the prior leader. Justin Pearson 1d 16% TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" Trade Justin Pearson 1d TN-09 House winner? Trade Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" 16% TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" TN-09 House winner? Justin Pearson has raised $2,344,946.62 this cycle, but Brent Taylor holds the lead in the latest odds for "TN-09 House winner?" Brad Lander 1d 3% New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. Trade Brad Lander 1d New York City mayoral election winner? Trade Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. 3% New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. New York City mayoral election winner? Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, but Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election. Chaz Molder 1d 12% TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. Trade Chaz Molder 1d TN-05 House winner? Trade Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. 12% TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. TN-05 House winner? Chaz Molder has raised $2,599,774.57 this cycle, but Charlie Hatcher holds the lead in the latest odds for TN-05 House winner. Shaun Finnie 1d 11% TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" Trade Shaun Finnie 1d TX-02 House winner? Trade Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" 11% TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" TX-02 House winner? Shaun Finnie has raised $2,729,676.76 this cycle, but Steve Toth holds the lead in the latest odds for "TX-02 House winner?" Bob Onder 1d 94% MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. Trade Bob Onder 1d MO-03 House winner? Trade Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. 94% MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. MO-03 House winner? Bob Onder now has Donald Trump’s endorsement in the MO-03 House winner race, and his odds are at 94%. Greg Dolezal 1d 55% Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Trade Greg Dolezal 1d Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Trade Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. 55% Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? Greg Dolezal is now leading the Georgia Lieutenant Governor race at 55%, with a 4.0-point edge. Michael Bouchard Jr. 1d 65% MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. Trade Michael Bouchard Jr. 1d MI-10 House winner? Trade Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. 65% MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. MI-10 House winner? Michael Bouchard Jr. is now the leader in the MI-10 House winner race at 65%, with a 4.0-point edge. Marco Rubio 2d 22% 7% 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. Trade Marco Rubio 2d 2028 Republican presidential nominee Trade Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. 7% 22% 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. 2028 Republican presidential nominee Rubio’s 2028 Republican nominee price fell sharply in the past hour, while recent reporting keeps the Vance-vs.-Rubio succession narrative active and notes Rubio has said he has no plans to run in 2028. Daryl Parks 2d 3% 13% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Trade Daryl Parks 2d Tallahassee Mayoral Election Trade Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. 13% 3% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Parks fell from 16% to 3% in the market, keeping him well behind Ausley and Matlow as fresh reporting still frames the race around the Ausley-Matlow runoff fight. Loranne Ausley 2d 60% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. Trade Loranne Ausley 2d Tallahassee Mayoral Election Trade Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. 60% Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Loranne Ausley is now at 60% and leads by 15.0 points in the Tallahassee mayoral race.

Ryan Elijah wins the FL-07 GOP primary, ousting Cory Mills 2d FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. Trade Ryan Elijah wins the FL-07 GOP primary, ousting Cory Mills 2d FL-07 House winner? Trade The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. FL-07 House winner? The Republican primary result is a fresh, concrete development that materially changes the FL-07 general-election race and helps explain the market’s sharp repricing away from Republicans. Republican Party 2d Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Trade Republican Party 2d Florida Governor winner? Trade Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Florida Governor winner? Donalds’ primary win and Trump-backed consolidation give Republicans a clearer path in Florida, and the GOP governorship contract has firmed to about 0.83 as traders reposition for the general. Dan Sullivan 2d 8% 6% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Trade Dan Sullivan 2d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. 6% 8% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Dan S. Sullivan’s win-1st contract fell from 0.14 to 0.08 in the last hour as AP again highlighted the two-Dan-Sullivan ballot confusion and the crowded Alaska Senate primary. Dan Green 2d 54% FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. Trade Dan Green 2d FL-09 Republican nominee? Trade Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. 54% FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. FL-09 Republican nominee? Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader. Alaska Senate primary draws fresh burst of coverage 2d Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Trade Alaska Senate primary draws fresh burst of coverage 2d Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Alaska Senate winner? (Person) AP and other outlets are highlighting Alaska’s primary-day Senate race, keeping Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan in focus ahead of November. The new coverage matters because this race has already shown a tradable gap between polling/fundraising and market pricing. Maura Sullivan 2d 15% NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. Trade Maura Sullivan 2d NH-01 Democratic nominee? Trade Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. 15% NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. NH-01 Democratic nominee? Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the lead in the latest odds for the New Hampshire-01 Democratic nominee race. Michele Tafoya 2d 12% Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Trade Michele Tafoya 2d Minnesota Senate winner? Trade Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. 12% Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Minnesota Senate winner? Michele Tafoya has raised $5,337,941.77 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Senate race. Charlie Crist 2d 88% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. Trade Charlie Crist 2d St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Trade Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. 88% St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Fresh reporting says Charlie Crist leads the field in fundraising, but much of the money is flowing through a web of political committees tied to utility interests, keeping his 88% contract in focus for traders tracking runoff and momentum risk. AP says Alaska governor race is part of today’s crowded primary 2d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Trade AP says Alaska governor race is part of today’s crowded primary 2d Alaska Governor winner? (Person) Trade AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Alaska Governor winner? (Person) AP’s election preview puts the Alaska governor field back in focus on primary day, highlighting the crowded contest and the two Democrats in a mostly Republican race, which could matter if tonight’s results reset who the market treats as the main general-election threat. Bernard Taylor 2d 64% 0% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. Trade Bernard Taylor 2d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. 0% 64% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Taylor’s nominee odds are up to 64% while James Martin has fallen to 39%, reinforcing the market’s shift toward Taylor ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary. Jay Collins 2d 21% 24% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Trade Jay Collins 2d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. 24% 21% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Collins’s third-place contract jumped from 0% to 21% in the last hour as primary-day coverage keeps the crowded GOP field in focus, making him the main short-term mover behind Donalds and Fishback. Ted Cruz 2d 2% 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. Trade Ted Cruz 2d 2028 Republican VP nominee Trade Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. 2% 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. 2028 Republican VP nominee Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, while Marco Rubio holds the odds lead for the 2028 Republican VP nominee. Eric Jones 2d 26% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. Trade Eric Jones 2d CA-04 House winner? Trade Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. 26% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, but Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner. Mary Peltola 3d 90% 26% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Trade Mary Peltola 3d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. 26% 90% Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Peltola’s win-1st price dropped from 0.90 to 0.65 in the last hour even as AP highlighted the crowded Alaska Senate primary and the confusing two-Dan-Sullivan ballot setup, making this a tradable late repricing in the top contract. Republican Party 3d 47% 9% Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Trade Republican Party 3d Alaska Senate winner? Trade Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. 9% 47% Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Alaska Senate winner? Republican win odds in Alaska’s Senate race moved from 38% to 47% in 24 hours, with fresh AP coverage on the primary-day ballot-confusion story and the crowded field keeping the race trader-relevant. Bernard Taylor 3d 61% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. Trade Bernard Taylor 3d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. 61% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor is now at 61%, with a 17.0-point lead in the FL-21 Democratic nominee race. Beau Bayh 3d 56% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Trade Beau Bayh 3d Indiana Secretary of State winner? Trade Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. 56% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Indiana Secretary of State winner? Beau Bayh is now leading with 56% and has a 8.0-point edge after trailing earlier. Fake Bass lead poll debunked 3d Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Trade Fake Bass lead poll debunked 3d Los Angeles Mayor winner? Trade A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Los Angeles Mayor winner? A Los Angeles Times report says the Bass-vs.-Raman poll showing Bass ahead was a company stunt, removing a misleading data point that had briefly supported Bass in the market. Jay Collins 3d 23% 24% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Trade Jay Collins 3d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. 24% 23% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Jay Collins's odds are down 24.0 points and are now 23% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Matthew Dunlap 3d 57% ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. Trade Matthew Dunlap 3d ME-02 House winner? Trade Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. 57% ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. ME-02 House winner? Matthew Dunlap is now leading with 57% odds in the ME-02 House winner race, after the lead changed from a Republican to a Democrat. AP previews CA-14 special election ahead of Tuesday vote 3d CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. Trade AP previews CA-14 special election ahead of Tuesday vote 3d CA-14 special election winner Trade AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. CA-14 special election winner AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge. Saritha Komatireddy 4d 6% New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" Trade Saritha Komatireddy 4d New York Attorney General winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" 6% New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" New York Attorney General winner? Donald Trump backed Saritha Komatireddy, who is currently at 6% in "New York Attorney General winner?" Bill Huizenga 4d 60% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" Trade Bill Huizenga 4d MI-04 House winner? Trade Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" 60% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga is now leading with 60% odds and a 17.0-point margin in "MI-04 House winner?" Beau Bayh 4d 54% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Trade Beau Bayh 4d Indiana Secretary of State winner? Trade Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. 54% Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Indiana Secretary of State winner? Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch. Ben Butler 5d 23% 26% FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. Trade Ben Butler 5d FL-09 Republican nominee? Trade Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. 26% 23% FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. FL-09 Republican nominee? Ben Butler's odds are down 26.0 points and are now at 23% over a 3-day streak. Rhett Marques 5d 76% AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" Trade Rhett Marques 5d AL-02 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" 76% AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" AL-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?" Peltola faces fresh Alaska primary scrutiny over endorsement and ballot drama 6d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Trade Peltola faces fresh Alaska primary scrutiny over endorsement and ballot drama 6d Alaska Senate primary: 1st place Trade New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Alaska Senate primary: 1st place New reporting keeps Alaska’s Senate primary in the spotlight by pairing Mary Peltola’s lead with continued attention on the confusing dual-Dan-Sullivan ballot story and her public rejection of a Kamala Harris endorsement, which may matter to traders watching field-shaping noise ahead of Aug. 18. ([alaskapublic.org](https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/elections/2026-07-24/alaska-elections-division-director-defends-disqualifying-u-s-senate-candidate?utm_source=openai)) Democrats add $6 million in OH-07 advertising 6d OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. Trade Democrats add $6 million in OH-07 advertising 6d OH-07 House winner? Trade House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. OH-07 House winner? House Democrats are pouring another $6 million into Cleveland ads after Max Miller stayed in the race, reinforcing Brian Poindexter’s repricing and keeping OH-07 on traders’ radar. Kaptur injury report adds fresh attention to OH-09 6d OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) Trade Kaptur injury report adds fresh attention to OH-09 6d OH-09 House winner? Trade AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) OH-09 House winner? AP reported Marcy Kaptur was treated for non-life-threatening injuries after a car accident in Toledo, giving the OH-09 rematch a new news catalyst while her market remains sharply repriced higher on the day. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/a5d45b9bd793c6f605fea4a7bd6c28a2?utm_source=openai)) Maine Democrats’ turmoil is easing GOP Senate pressure 7d Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Trade Maine Democrats’ turmoil is easing GOP Senate pressure 7d Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Trade AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Which party will win the U.S. Senate? AP says Graham Platner plans to withdraw from Maine’s Senate race, which could make Republicans’ hold on the chamber easier by weakening Democrats’ best pickup path and freeing GOP resources elsewhere. Trina Swanson 7d 62% MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. Trade Trina Swanson 7d MN-08 House winner? Trade Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. 62% MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. MN-08 House winner? Trina Swanson is now at 62% and leads by 16.0 points in the MN-08 House winner race. Blake Miguez 7d 6% LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. Trade Blake Miguez 7d LA-05 Republican nominee? Trade Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. 6% LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. LA-05 Republican nominee? Blake Miguez has raised $6,612,410 this cycle, while Michael Echols leads the latest odds for the LA-05 Republican nominee race. Adam Hamilton 7d 22% Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Trade Adam Hamilton 7d Kansas Senate winner? Trade Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. 22% Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Kansas Senate winner? Adam Hamilton has raised $4,169,077.81 this cycle, but Roger Marshall holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kansas Senate race. Charlie Hatcher 7d 92% TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. Trade Charlie Hatcher 7d TN-05 House winner? Trade Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. 92% TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. TN-05 House winner? Trump’s endorsement of Charlie Hatcher after Andy Ogles’ primary loss adds a fresh general-election catalyst in TN-05, where the Republican remains the market favorite but the race has been repriced off the upset. Mandela Barnes 7d 1% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Trade Mandela Barnes 7d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Trade Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. 1% Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, but Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary. Carey Baker 8d 30% FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Trade Carey Baker 8d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. 30% FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. FL-11 Republican nominee? Carey Baker is now leading with 30% and has a 12.0-point edge in the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Joe Strada 8d 18% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Trade Joe Strada 8d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. 18% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada has raised $5,248,640 this cycle, but Carey Baker leads the latest odds for the FL-11 Republican nominee race. Joe Lombardo 8d 60% Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Trade Joe Lombardo 8d Nevada Governor winner? Trade Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. 60% Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Nevada Governor winner? Joe Lombardo is now at 60%, with a 19-point lead after trailing earlier. Stephen Skoly 8d 58% RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. Trade Stephen Skoly 8d RI-02 Republican nominee? Trade Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. 58% RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. RI-02 Republican nominee? Stephen Skoly is now at 58%, with an 18.0-point lead in the RI-02 Republican nominee race. Tia LeBrun 8d 8% LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. Trade Tia LeBrun 8d LA-03 Democratic nominee? Trade Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. 8% LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. LA-03 Democratic nominee? Tia LeBrun is now the leader in the LA-03 Democratic nominee race, with 8% and a 4.0-point edge. Aaron Guckian 8d 72% Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Trade Aaron Guckian 8d Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Trade Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. 72% Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Aaron Guckian is now the front-runner at 72%, with a 36-point lead over the prior leader. Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic governor primary 8d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Trade Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic governor primary 8d Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Trade AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place AP says David Crowley narrowly beat Francesca Hong for the Democratic nomination, confirming the runner-up market’s resolution after the earlier Hong-Crowley volatility. Bronin defeats Larson in CT-01 Democratic primary 8d CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. Trade Bronin defeats Larson in CT-01 Democratic primary 8d CT-01 House winner? Trade Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. CT-01 House winner? Luke Bronin’s primary win removes incumbent John Larson from the Democratic general-election lineup, a meaningful candidate-shift even though the safe-seat general market is still pinned near 94.4% Democratic. Peggy Flanagan 8d 91% Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Trade Peggy Flanagan 8d Minnesota Senate winner? Trade Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. 91% Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Minnesota Senate winner? Flanagan’s primary win locks in a high-odds Democratic nominee in an open Minnesota Senate race, keeping the general-election market heavily favored toward Democrats while the GOP side remains far behind. Bill Huizenga 8d 32% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" Trade Bill Huizenga 8d MI-04 House winner? Trade Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" 32% MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" MI-04 House winner? Bill Huizenga has raised $4,093,991 this cycle, but Sean Andrew McCann is ahead in the latest odds for "MI-04 House winner?" Cooke clinches WI-03 Democratic nomination 8d WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. Trade Cooke clinches WI-03 Democratic nomination 8d WI-03 House winner? Trade Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. WI-03 House winner? Rebecca Cooke’s primary win is now confirmed in public reporting, locking in a Van Orden rematch in a toss-up House seat that traders have been repricing sharply. SC GOP Senate primary heads to a runoff 8d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. Trade SC GOP Senate primary heads to a runoff 8d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? AP reporting says Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to an August 25 runoff, giving traders a fresh, concrete next catalyst after the election-day field narrowed. Dan Sullivan 10d 44% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Trade Dan Sullivan 10d Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Trade Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). 44% Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Dan Sullivan has raised $9,136,966.96 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person). Tim Fleming 11d 55% Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Trade Tim Fleming 11d Georgia Secretary of State winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" 55% Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Georgia Secretary of State winner? Donald Trump backed Tim Fleming, who is currently at 55% in "Georgia Secretary of State winner?" Blake Gendebien 13d 28% NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. Trade Blake Gendebien 13d NY-21 House winner? Trade The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. 28% NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. NY-21 House winner? The latest poll has Blake Gendebien at 43%, but Anthony Constantino is still ahead in the odds for NY-21 House winner. Bernard Taylor 14d 50% 17% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Bernard Taylor 14d FL-21 Democratic nominee? Trade Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 50% FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. FL-21 Democratic nominee? Bernard Taylor's odds are up 17.0 points and are now 50% in "FL-21 Democratic nominee?" over a 3-day streak. Paul R. LePage 18d 68% ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. Trade Paul R. LePage 18d ME-02 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. 68% ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. ME-02 House winner? Donald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%. Joe Strada 19d 60% 22% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. Trade Joe Strada 19d FL-11 Republican nominee? Trade Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. 22% 60% FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. FL-11 Republican nominee? Joe Strada's odds are down 22.0 points and are now at 60% over a 3-day streak. Tram Nguyen 19d 20% MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. Trade Tram Nguyen 19d MA-06 Democratic nominee? Trade The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. 20% MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. MA-06 Democratic nominee? The latest poll has Tram Nguyen ahead by 8.0 points, but Dan Koh is still leading the odds for the MA-06 Democratic nominee race. Zach Nunn 20d 37% IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. Trade Zach Nunn 20d IA-03 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. 37% IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. IA-03 House winner? Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%. Eric Jones 21d 27% 18% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Eric Jones 21d CA-04 House winner? Trade Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. 18% 27% CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. CA-04 House winner? Eric Jones's odds are up 18.0 points and are now 27% in "CA-04 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Jenny Costa Honeycutt 22d 76% SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" Trade Jenny Costa Honeycutt 22d SC-01 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" 76% SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" SC-01 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jenny Costa Honeycutt, and she is currently at 76% in "SC-01 House winner?" Jeanine Driscoll 22d 14% NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" Trade Jeanine Driscoll 22d NY-04 House winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" 14% NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" NY-04 House winner? Donald Trump backed Jeanine Driscoll, and she is currently at 14% in "NY-04 House winner?" Alexander Kolodin 22d 15% Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Trade Alexander Kolodin 22d Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trade Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. 15% Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Arizona Secretary of State winner? Trump’s endorsement gives Alexander Kolodin a notable outside boost in the Arizona Secretary of State race, where he is currently at 15%. Rick Jackson 22d 42% Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Trade Rick Jackson 22d Georgia Governor winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. 42% Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Georgia Governor winner? Donald Trump backed Rick Jackson in the Georgia governor race, and Jackson is currently at 42%. Byron Donalds 23d 4% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Trade Byron Donalds 23d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. 4% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place The latest poll has Byron Donalds at 46%, but James Fishback leads the odds and Donalds is currently at 4%. Everton Blair Jr. 24d 5% 43% GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" Trade Everton Blair Jr. 24d GA-13 special election winner? Trade Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" 43% 5% GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" GA-13 special election winner? Everton Blair Jr.'s odds are down 43.0 points and are now 5% in "GA-13 special election winner?" Marcye Scott 26d 56% 17% GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Marcye Scott 26d GA-13 special election winner? Trade Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 56% GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. GA-13 special election winner? Marcye Scott's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 56% in "GA-13 special election winner?" over a 3-day streak. Mike Rogers 27d 32% 69% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Trade Mike Rogers 27d Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Trade Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. 69% 32% Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Mike Rogers's odds are up 69.0 points and are now at 32% in the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) race. Democratic Party 28d 46% 17% TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Trade Democratic Party 28d TX-15 House winner? Trade Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. 17% 46% TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. TX-15 House winner? Democratic Party's odds are up 17.0 points and are now at 46% in "TX-15 House winner?" over a 3-day streak. Paul Renner 29d 61% 32% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Trade Paul Renner 29d Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Trade Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. 32% 61% Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place Paul Renner's odds are up 32.0 points and are now at 61% in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 3rd place. Darline Graham Nordone 29d 72% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. Trade Darline Graham Nordone 29d South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Trade Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. 72% South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%. South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? Donald Trump backed Darline Graham Nordone for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, and her odds are at 72%.